South Alabama at Georgia State

South Alabama is just 9-17 on the season, but seven of those nine wins have come in conference play where for the most part they have been a competitive team, and one that has grown from the team that recorded just two out-of-conference wins. Georgia State is 10-4 in conference play and 17-8 overall, but have been under-achieving to the line where they are just 8-12 ATS in their last 20 and that includes a stretch where they went 4-0 ATS, so they're just 4-12 ATS otherwise. They have not been up to the challenge when covering big numbers at just 3-7 ATS in their last 20 when trying to cover double-digits. The Jags' eleveted play has them at 5-1 ATS in their last six, and should vindicate themselves well enough here to stay inside a generous number. Play the points on South Alabama.