SE Missouri State at Austin Peay

Two losing teams meet here and they very different offensively, making this a hard total for the oddsmakers to set. SE Missouri State is 4-9 and just 1-8 on the road where they struggle to score at 60.3 points per game. Their defense is average. Austin Peay on the other hand is 5-0 at home thanks to an offense that is churning out 90.6 points per game. So how do you predict the points in this one? The Governors are 39-22 to the OVER in their last 61 home games vs. poor defensive like the Redhawks' (those allowing 45%+ shooting). Over the past two and a half seasons, the Redhawks are 25-11 OVER in conference play and 20-8 OVER after back-to-back-to-back games as an underdog. Austin Peay is 13-4 OVER the past few seasons after a road loss and 19-6 OVER in their last 25 games following a blowout loss by 20+ points. In Rick Ray's tenure, the Redhawks are 41-29 OVER in conference games. Meanwhile under Matt Figger, the Governors are 13-4 OVER when following a road loss and 17-8 OVER when following a loss of any kind. Take the OVER here.