This pick was released to clients on March 17, 2024 at 10:49AM ET.
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South Dakota State at Providence

March 17, 2022
img12:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

South Dakota State has the nation's longest winning streak at 21 games, but now the Jack Rabbits step up in class against Providence from the Big East. The Friars have a 25-5 record themselves, although they do come off of their worst performance of the season in losing 85-58 to Creighton in the conference tournament. They shot just 30.8%, and that is about 13 percentage points below their average. Creighton shot 52.6%, and the Friars usually allow opponents 41%. Providence will focus on shutting down South Dakota State's 3-point shooting as it averages 44.9% from beyond the arc. The Friars have balanced scoring with four scorers averaging between 10.4 and 13.7 points. Providence allows 67.0 points per game and 31.0 in the first half compared to 73.4 and 32.8 for the Jack Rabbits, who have gone UNDER in six of their last nine games. Providence has gone UNDER in four straight as an NCAA Tournament favorite, and the Friars are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games versus teams with .600 or higher winning percentages. The Friars are a small favorite in this one, and I like them to win straight up in a low-scoring game. Go with Providence on the moneyline, play the First-Half UNDER, and also the full-game UNDER.

1 unit on Providence -133 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.75)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 69.5 -109 (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 148 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
SD State Jack Rabbits
23
34
57
Providence Friars img
31
35
66
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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