This pick was released to clients on February 25, 2014 at 9:36AM ET.
img CBB

San Jose State at San Diego State

February 25, 2014
img11:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

San Diego State has been a top team all season, but they have gone just 2-2 in their last four games after winning 20 straight times. The losses were by a combined 20 points, and they simply have hit a bit of a rut right now. The offense has struggled at times, but the one constant is a relentless defense that has choked off opponents on the offensive end. San Jose is certainly not an upset candidate here, but in a game that will likely be played more on the defensive end, especially early, I expect Ssn Jose to stay in touch. The Aztecs have managed just 57.5 points per game in their last four, and San Jose State is allowing just 53.7 ppg in their last three, limiting those three opponents to 26, 26, and 29 first half points in those contests. Overall, San Jose State is 33-12-1 to the UNDER in their last 46 games, but with a lot of garbage time expected here the first half should be the most intensely played on the defensive end. The Aztecs don't score much, and are struggling to produce points, making it a tall order to cover the 20+ points offered here. Play on San Jose State and the first half UNDER.

1 unit on San Jose State +21 (-105) (risk 1 to return 0)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 57 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 0)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
San Jose State Spartans
30
34
64
San Diego State Aztecs img
44
46
90
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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