This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 5:30PM ET.
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San Jose State at Nevada

March 2, 2006
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It is true that San Jose State has only won 6 games this year. Yet, what we care about is a team covering and this team has been doing just that. They recently lost to Hawaii by just 1, lost to Fresno State at home by 7, lost to New Mexico State by 6 on the road, lost ot UC Santa Barb by 4 at hme, lost to Louisiana Tech by 11 on the road, and had lost to Nevada earlier this year by 7. The total for this game is 136 and for us to get 17.5 points on that kind of total is something that we have to take serously as that is lot of points for a team playing well and should lose - but not lose by nearly 20 points. The reason this line is so high is primarily due to Nevada putting a whalloping on Utah State on the road. However, this San Jose State team has revenge on their mind as they lost a close and low scoring game at home and I think Nevada will be looking past this game a bit more on cruise control. I expect San Jose State to keep it relateively cloes and bring this one in.

3 units on San Jose State +18 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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