San Jose State at Air Force

It has been a punishing start to the season for San Jose State. The Spartans are 2-12 and both wins came at the expense of non Div-1 opponents, so they stand at 0-12 against Division-1 opponents this season. The good news is that the pendulum of value is becoming favorable as oddsmakers stack the points to lay against them. They also broke a seven game ATS slide in their last game at +18.5. Air Force tends to play half-court, low scoring games, and have not been a productive team when laying a significant amount of points. In fact, they lost to UC Davis at -7 and beat Jacksonville by a single point in overtime as -11 chalk. That represents their only two games at -7 or greater, and at -13+ here they are getting out of a productive range. The flyboys are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home, and are in too deep here. Take the points on San Jose State.