San Diego State at BYU

BYU doesn't lose at home. This team has won 40 straight home games - the second best such run in the nation (behind Memphis). Over the past decade, they are 41-11 straight-up at home vs. winning teams and over that span they are a perfect 39-0 at home when favored on the moneyline at -270 to -850. This season they are 9-0 here, averaging 87.3 ppg. They are winning by 23 points per game on average. Yes, SDSU is playing well, but they already have three road losses and they don't have the offense to keep up with the Cougars. BYU is also 6-1 the past three seasons vs. good defensive teams (those allowing under 64 ppg). Ride the hot home streak here.