San Diego State at Air Force

San Diego State is a 13-5 team getting 12.5 points. Why? They are at Air Force - a place at which it has historically been very tough to play. Again this year the Academy is 9-0 at home. But, the lustre has worn off a bit in that they are not covering here. They are just 1-2 ATS here and just 6-7 ATS overall. What's bad for them is they ahve lsot five straight against the spread! In each game they were laying 6 or more points and in every game they came up short. The bottom line is that while AF is very good, they remain overvalued in the eyes of the betting public, especially at home. This should be a closer game than the spread indicates.