Do we think Clemson is 23 points better than a team like Samford? Most likely. But Samford is a very difficult team to beat by this many points. They play a very slow tempo, and like to lull the opponents to sleep. They did it to a Florida State team that scores in the high 70s, and held them to 46 shots for the game, covering the 20 point line. Last year LSU could only squeeze off 43 shots and couldn't cover as a 20+ favorite. Clemson has won all but one game this season with Furman and Gardner-Webb the only two falling by 20+ points. Clemson may be looking past this one, as they have a tough game on New Year's Day vs Alabama. Samford has not dropped a game by this margin yet, and the way they limit the number of possessions in a game, this will be tough to cover for Clemson.
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