Saint Mary's at Pepperdine

Once upon a time not so long ago, the St. Mary's Gaels were the annual bottom feeder in the West Coast Conference, while Pepperdine was almost always a front runner. My how things have changed over the last decade or so, and St. Mary's has been right there chasing Gonzaga almost annually. They have another strong team that is off to a 14-1 start, and are an amazing 12-0 ATS. That may make it seem like you can't pick against them, but the reality is, NCAA teams on a 9 game or longer ATS streak are just 17-30 ATS, and on the road win just 62.5% of the time, which offers great value here on the money line with a competent Pepperdine team that is 9-6 on the season. The Waves have a bit of a streak going of their own as they are a perfect 6-0 SU at home, and certainly have value here to grab the upset win. Play Pepperdine on the moneyline.