Saint Louis at Virginia Commonwealth

The St. Louis Bilikens were 81-22 over the last three years, but most of those players have moved on, and this team is suffering the consequences at 10-15 on the season. They did, however, play this VCU team tough at home losing by just two points. VCU is a top 25 team, but right now they are battling injuries, and are not the same team. The defense has been solid but as a team they shoot under 43%, atypical of a top-rated team. They have certainly played under the line as they are 9-15 ATS in their last 24 games, and are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven when giving 10 or more points, and seldom show the desire to blow out bad teams as they are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 vs. a losing team. St. Louis can control the tempo making the big number tough to take down, and fit a 104-80 ATS situation. Take the points on St. Louis.