Saint Louis at George Mason

It has been a big start for the George Mason Patriots who come into this game with a 12-2 record on the season. This team has had some outlier shooting nights, which should not transfer forward, and despite of that they are not covering big numbers. The Patriots are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of -6 or more points. St. Louis is 7-7 on the season, but they have covered two of their last three games as a dog of +6 or more points. I think there is too much attention focused on the records of these teams, and the reality is they are closer than the line suggests here. Make the play on St. Louis.