Southern Utah at Duke

Darling Duke lays a lot here. Too much in my opinion. Sure, Duke advances. But, do they win by three touchdowns and a field goal? I don't think so. Consider that Kryzewski and company are just 4-9 ATS in their last thirteen including 1-6 ATS to close out the season. As huge favorites of more than 21 points this season, they are just 2-4 ATS. Away from home they were 7-10 ATS. These numbers seemed to be ignored by the betting public who instead focuses on their 30-3 record and here, their #1 seed. Southern is fairly weak but they are peaking right now. While just 20-12 on the season overall, they finished very strong with six straight wins. Nine of those twelve losses came in their first 11 games. They closed out strong by playing great defense, holding four of those opponents under 60 points. Over the past three seasons, the Dukies are just 1-8 ATS as a neutral court favorite of greater than 12 points. Two stars on Southern to cover the big number.