Southern Mississippi vs. San Diego State

San Diego State has won 88 games over the last three seasons, and has been the most dominating team in the Mountain West Conference for a decade. This year, however, the Aztecs are just 5-4 on the season and appear to be a lot more vulnerable. That was never more apparent than in their 76-72 home loss to Grand Canyon, a game that was supposed to be so one-sided that it was not even a lined game. At 3-6 on the season, Southern Mississippi has found the going tough, losing four straight and failing to cover any of them. San Diego State is still good defensively, but the offense does not create a lot of opportunities. To a low total, and an expected low-scoring game, 20+ points is a big mountain to climb to get the money. Make the play on Southern Mississippi.