Rider at Niagara

Rider is a solid fundamental team. They hit nearly 73% of their free throws and over 37% from three-point land. These are the types of teams that Niagara struggles against. Niagara is 6-15 ATS the past three seasons vs. teams that make 37%+ of their three-pointers and they are just 5-15 ATS in their last twenty vs. teams making 72%+ of their free throws. Yes, Niagara has won seven straight. But, they have failed to cover all but one of their last five games. Meanwhile, Rider has only lost three of their last ten ATS. Rider has fared better against common opponents this season. They are 11-7 SU and 9-7 ATS whereas Niagara is also 11-7 SU and 8-8 ATS. Niagara is 9-19 ATS as a home favorite and 20-34 ATS vs. conference foes over the past three seasons. Why is Niagara laying so many points here? Seems way to many and we'll back the dog. Both of these teams have had OVER tendencies all season long and hve gone OVER more than not recently. As a result, this total has been inflated and is several points too high. We'll back the dog and the UNDER here.