Rice at Arkansas Little Rock

Rice is averaging 68 ppg, more than Arkansas LR. The problem has been consistency, and defense. The Trojans have a solid defense. But, are these two teams really this far apart? Consider that Rice is 3-2 ATS on the road while ALR is just 2-4 ATS at home. In games in which they've been a big favorite (5 points or more), the Trojans are 0-5 ATS on the season! This spread is asking a lot. Ben Braun teams are 65-42 ATS when facing an opponent at .600 or better. Under Steve Sheilds, ALR is just 15-27 ATS in non-conference games and 31-44 ATS off a win. I like the Owls with the points here.