Purdue at Minnesota

Purdue star Robbie Hummel (16.4 ppg, 6 rpg) returns to the place he blew his knee out two years ago. His team is playing well, winning eight of 11 games and 2-1 in the Big 10. This is a strong offensive team and the over is 15-7-1 in the Boilermakers last 23 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. They take on a Minnesota team that has lost three in a row but has plenty of offense, shooting .477% from the field (42nd in the nation) as well as 15.9 assists per game (25th). They are more reliable from the charity stripe, as well: Minnesota is shooting .702 (238-339) as a team, up from  last season when the team finished at 66%. The OVER is 4-1 in the Golden Gophers last five games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 and I see more offense than oddsmakers anticipate. Play Purdue/Minnesota OVER the total.