Purdue at Michigan State

Tom Izzo has a long history of elite teams during his tenure at Michigan State. His teams have won 27 games or more in seven of the last eight seasons, but at 12-8 this year, he is definitely in rebuilding mode. While his team is 9-1 straight-up at home on the season, they have been -10 or more chalk in seven of those. Purdue is having a great season at 16-4 and have been well above the line at 11-6 ATS. The Boilermakers are a sharp shooting team, connecting on over 49% and have knocked down three-pointers at an impressive rate, nailing 40.6% on the season. I think that is where the difference lies in this contest, so play on Purdue.