Providence at Villanova

Providence is the surprise entry at 21-12, upsetting the #1 seed Xavier in overtime in a game that saw the Friars rally from 17 down. Providence has gotten here with a pair of dog wins, and this is a team that has been a dangerous dog all season, as the Friars are 6-1 ATS in their last seven in this role, including 4-0 ATS in their last four. Providence has really turned it up defensively, as they have held their last three opponents to 42% or less. I see this one a lot closer than the oddsmakers have it, and will run with the dog. Play on Providence.