Providence at Marquette

The Friars have been putting up some big numbers, averaging 83 points per game. Meanwhile their defense has been weak. As a result, they have gone 9-3 to the OVER. This line reflects that reality. But, they are playing a team that leans the other way here. Marquette is 6-4 UNDER including 3-1 UNDER at home, thanks to a stifling defense that has kept opponents to just 60.5 points per game here at home. In their last 31 home games vs. really good teams (.600 or better), the Golden Eagles are 22-9 UNDER. Under Buzz Williams, they are 12-3 UNDER when coming off a game that went OVER the total. I think this total is set too high.