Princeton at Brown

Princeton was once the king-pin in the Ivy, but has fallen off the map. What were once double-digit chalk lines are now double-digit dog lines. But despite Princeton's road horrors this year we like them in this spot. Five of their eight ATS covers this season have come on the road. Road dogs of 10-20 points coming off of an upset loss cover their next game 67% of the time (84-41 over the past five seasons). They should be able to hang close enough to Brown in this one. Along with a drop like Princeton's come games that are giving odds-makers a struggle to set totals. An average of 105.7 points in games they played in the Ivy has risen to 125.1 ppg, which is 5+ points higher than where the odds-makers have set the totals this season. With the public perception still on the 40s and 50s of past Princeton teams, that has certainly changed. Brown has not produced less than 64 points in any Ivy League home game this season and the average points scored is 133. They connect on 40% of three-point shots while allowing 37%, and that should be enough to take advantage of a forced, low-set total at the hands of the odds-makers. Take the Tigers and the OVER here.