This pick was released to clients on October 11, 2012 at 10:52PM ET.
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Portland State at Gonzaga

November 30, 2006
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Portland who? Exactly. The public is all over Gonzaga here as they have played very well this year, they are a big name and they are facing a nobody. Over 70% of the bets are coming in on the Zags. Smells like line value to us. Sure it's a mismatch but we aren't taking Portland State to win - just to cover. The Zags have been double digit favorites three times thus far, going 1-2 ATS. The only 20+ point spread they didn't cover - laying 26 to Idaho. If you go back to last season, the Zags are just 5-15 ATS as a double digit favorite! This has been one of the best teams to fade at home as they are also just 2-9 ATS off a double-digit home win.

2 units on Portland State +22.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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