Pittsburgh at Notre Dame

Both of these teams have 19 wins but there are two huge advantages for the Irish here. First off they are 9-3 in league play while Pittsburgh is just 7-5. This two-win difference against the tougher competition tells us these 19-win teams are not equals. Second, this game is at home for Notre Dame. Pittsburgh is just 5-5 on the road while the Irish are a perfect 14-0 at home, beating opponents by 18 points per game. The Panthers' strength is defense as they allow 62.7 ppg. But, on the road, that jumps to 66.7, and the Irish are on a 29-14 ATS run over teams that allow less than 64 ppg after 15 games.