This pick was released to clients on March 17, 2024 at 10:49AM ET.
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Pittsburgh vs. Iowa State

March 17, 2023
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Pittsburgh has been a moneymaker this season with a 23-10-1 ATS record while Iowa State is 21-11 UNDER. The Cyclones did most of their winning earlier in the season as they are just 3-7 their past 10 games although they did manage to beat Baylor twice. Iowa State averages 68.4 points and allows 62.8 and it has gone UNDER its past four NCAA Tournament games. The Panthers are 22-7 ATS their past 29 games and 11-4-1 ATS against teams with winning records. Blake Hinson leads the Panthers with a 16.1 scoring average in the regular season and Jamarius Burton scores 15.6 per game and led the team in scoring in the conference tournament. Pittsburgh eked out a 60-59 victory in the First Four when Burton hit a go-ahead jumper with 10 seconds left and Nelly Cummings led the Panthers with 15 points and they covered as a 2.5-point underdog. That gives Pittsburgh great confidence and momentum coming into this matchup and it is 16-5 ATS following a win. Iowa State is 4-11 ATS its past 15 games and 24-8 UNDER versus teams with .600 winning percentages and the Cyclones have gone UNDER seven of their past nine overall. The Cyclones hold opponents to 62.8 points, but their offense averages just 68.4. The defense allows 29.1 points in the first half. Make the play on Pittsburgh, take the first half UNDER and the whole game to stay UNDER.

1.5 units on Pittsburgh +4.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 60.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 131.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Pittsburgh Panthers img
30
29
59
Iowa State Cyclones
23
18
41
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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