This pick was released to clients on March 14, 2023 at 10:25PM ET.
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Penn State vs. Texas A&M

March 16, 2023
img10:16 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Penn State is fortunate to be in the NCAA Tournament as it had to win several close games down the stretch and then lost by two points to Purdue in the Big 10 championship game on Sunday. The Nittany Lions' last eight games were decided by four or fewer points, but now they face Texas A&M, which has won 17 of its past 20 games and is on an 10-2 ATS run. The Aggies did lose to Alabama in the conference tournament final, but they already had beaten the Crimson Tide eight days before making it a big revenge matchup for Alabama. Wade Taylor IV leads the Aggies with 16.3 points per game and they are 23-11 ATS on the season and 5-2 ATS following a loss. Also, Texas A&M is 20-8 ATS dating to last season versus teams with .600 winning percentages and 6-1 UNDER following a loss as it comes out focused defensively in that situation. The Aggies allow 34.8 points in the first half and a .405 field goal percentage for the game and just .323 from the 3-point line. Take Texas A&M (Max Play), and also play the first half UNDER.

2 units on Texas A&M -2.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 62 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Penn State Nittany Lions img
38
38
76
Texas A&M Aggies
22
37
59
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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