This pick was released to clients on February 21, 2015 at 9:48AM ET.
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Penn State at Northwestern

February 21, 2015
img3:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Northwestern is home and has won two in a row, upsetting Iowa (66-61) with a great defensive performance, then shutting down Minnesota on the road 72-66. Northwestern is on an 11-5 ATS run and faces a struggling Penn State team that has lost five of six. Penn State is #330 in the nation in assists as they allow D.J. Newbill to do it all (21 points per game) - no other player is in double digits in scoring. The Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS against a team with a losing record. This also shapes up as a defensive game with Penn State 4-0 UNDER the total on the road and on a 6-1 run UNDER overall. Northwestern plays outstanding defense and is 17-5-1 UNDER the total after a victory. In its last road game Penn State shot 32% and ended up with 23 first half points. The UNDER is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Northwestern between these teams, so grab home court and look for a slow, defensive first half. Play Northwestern and the first half UNDER the total.

1 unit on Northwestern -2 (-106) (risk 1 to return 1.94)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 57 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Penn State Nittany Lions
20
19
39
Northwestern Wildcats img
28
32
60
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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