Penn State at Minnesota

Minnesota has fallen on very tough times, winning just one of their last nine games. Their offense has averaged just over 60 points per game during that stretch, which is one reason this total is set low. But, their defense has given up 70+ five times in their last ten games. Penn State is 6-4 to the OVER on the road this season, allowing over 70 per game. The problem for the Lions is their defense. They are forcing just 11 turnovers per game overall and a dismal 8 per game on the road. Minnesota is 10-1 OVER this season vs. teams that force less than 12 turnovers per game. The Golden Gophers are also 10-2 OVER since last season to a total in the 120s. Penn State is 12-1 OVER in their last 13 games vs. winning teams. All signs point to the OVER here.