Penn State at Indiana

Indiana has home court, but comes stumbling in on a three-game skid after a 15-1 start. Indiana is not a good bounce-back team, and overvalued by oddsmakers. They are on a 0-5 ATS run as well as 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up loss. The difference between an Indiana team that was 12-0 going into the Big Ten and the one that has won three of seven conference games can all be found on the defensive end. In non-conference play, the Hoosiers gave up 59.9 points per game on 38.3 percent shooting. Those numbers are up to 75.7 and 47.6 percent in Big Ten play. They face rival Penn State here and Indiana hasn't won a game since Jan. 8, when it defeated the Nittany Lions 88-82 as 6-point chalk. Indiana out-rebounded Penn State 33-28, but got outscored 36-10 in the paint and 18-7 in points off turnovers. The Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Indiana. Grab the big dog and play Penn State.