Pacific is off to a 4-1 start but have played some soft competition in their wins. They have struggled for the most part. Missouri State comes into this one at 3-2 has been better than advertised. They played a top SEC team in Tennessee down to the wire, and have been above the line in four of the five games played. Missouri State has six solid contributors that all can score. The problem with Pacific is after Willard, Young and Rivera, the dropoff is huge. Pacific features no player after the top four scorers hitting at better than 33% from the field, and that will be decisive for Missouri State in this one. The Bears should be in their comfort zone here as they are 27-11 ATS when favored by 7-12.5 points. Under head coach Bob Thomason, Pacific is just 15-25 ATS on the road in tournament games. I like Missouri State in this one.
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