This pick was released to clients on September 27, 2012 at 4:07PM ET.
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Pacific at Fresno State

December 21, 2004
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Fresno State dropped their first game of the season on Saturday, losing by a point to Oregon. Outside of that close game, they've been perfect, beating opponents by an average of 15 points per game. At home this season, they've held the opposition to under 60 points on average. I expect them to bounce back here and return to their winning ways. Pacific doesn't pressure well. Teams at -3 to +3 that are forcing <14 turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 5 or less turnovers are just 7-27 (79%) ATS since 1997. One star on Fresno State minus the points.

1 unit on Fresno State -2.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
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