Both of these teams have NCAA dance aspirations and the winner gets a quality win, which they will need in case they are not their conference champion. Similar matchups in the past have really perplexed the oddsmakers. I have studied the bracket buster back to the onset. There is a totals system that has produced nearly 65% wins over the eight years and this game fits the criteria. While Northern Iowa plays a lot of low scoring games, they have one key element that applies here. They have played to a 20-6 mark at home to the OVER in their most competitive type games, those where they were favored by less than seven. That includes an 11-3 OVER mark the past three seasons. I'll take this one to go OVER the total.
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