This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 1:10PM ET.
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Ohio at Miami Ohio

February 15, 2006
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a rivalry game between the 3rd and 4th best teams in the MAC. The first obvious note is that these 2 teams hooked up a couple of weeks ago and Miami Ohio went on the road to win at Ohio by 14. Now, they are favored by 5 at home. Common sense tells us that Miami Ohio coming back home would cover this spread with fair ease. Ohio has still not beaten a top 100 team on the road. Yes, sure the revenge factor is there, but this team is simply not playing well of late. They come off a loss to a top 160 team on the road to Western Michigan and also lost on the road to Buffalo a top 120 team by nearly 20 points. This team did defeat Toledo on the road who is a top 140 team essentially, but then has lost to Northern Illinois a top 125 team and recently lost the game to W.Michigan. This is not the greateast of road teams and asking them to beat a top 90 team on the road, something they have not done all year and something they have had trouble doing against teams much less difficult, I beleive is a lot to ask of Ohio. Miami (OH) has been playing solid of late. After losing 3 in a row, they have reeled off 4 straight wins including that road victory at Ohio. They also defeated Buffalo on the road, a feat that Ohio could not do. Let's take the home team tonight who will continue what the started at their rival's home court. Two stars on Miami Ohio.

2 units on Miami Ohio -4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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