Northwestern at Michigan

The Wolverines have won a couple of games in a row, but I am not yet buying that this team has a whole lot to offer. They boast eight wins on the season but four of those came in unlined games against Northern Michigan, Houston Baptist, Arkansas Pine Bluff and Coppin State. So throw those out. Two others came against Creighton and Detroit. Their only two quality wins on the season came vs. Ohio State and Penn State, so they have much more to prove to me. Northwestern is 11-3 on the year. They have also had some easy games, but they have also shown moxie in games they weren't supposed to win. They beat Notre Dame, Iowa State, North Carolina State and Illinois straight up as an underdog in each game. They could win this one too. At the very least they should keep it close. I like this game to go OVER too. What we have here appears to be two great defensive teams with Northwestern holding opponents to 62.3 per game and Michigan holding foes to 63.3 per game (56.3 per game at home). But, these stats are padded thanks to a bunch of cupcake opponents in the early going. The Wildcats have held seven opponents under 60 points, but those opponents included Liberty, Northern Florida, Central Connecticut State and Texas Pan American. Michigan has kept five opponents to fewer than 60 but again, look who it was: N. Michigan, Houston Baptist, Arkansas Pine Bluff, and Coppin State. Against the likes of Alabama, Creighton, Kansas, Marquette, Utah and Indiana, the Wolverines allowed 73 points per game. In conference games the past two seasons, the Wildcats are 15-6 OVER. They are also 10-2 OVER after scoring 60 or fewer points in their previous game over that same time span. I like this one to be a high-scoring affair with Northwestern giving Michigan all they can handle.