This pick was released to clients on March 14, 2023 at 7:34PM ET.
img CBB

Northern Kentucky vs. Houston

March 16, 2023
img9:39 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A pair of great defensive teams clash in Birmingham, Alabama. Northern Kentucky was No. 1 in the Horizon League defensively in points surrendered (63.6 per game), but the offense was ninth in the 11-team conference in points scored, 10th in field goal shooting (.432), and ninth from the charity stripe. Northern Kentucky is 1-8 ATS in non-conference action, 4-13 ATS away from home versus teams that shoot 45%+ from the field, and 3-11 ATS against teams that allow 42% shooting or less. They're also 25-11 UNDER the First Half Total against teams that attempt 18 or fewer free throws per game. Houston is a powerhouse defensive team, second in the nation in points given up (56.5 ppg) and field goal shooting allowed (36.46). The Cougars are 41-29 ATS as chalk and 17-7 ATS away from home against teams that beat their opponents by 4+ points per contest. They're also on a 7-5 run UNDER the First Half Total. Play Houston + the First Half Total UNDER. 

1 unit on Houston -18.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 56.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Northern Kentucky Norse
27
25
52
Houston Cougars img
30
33
63
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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