Northern Iowa at Murray State

Northern Iowa is a terrific defensive team, second in the Missouri Valley Conference in points given up (67.5 per game) and third in shooting allowed. They're on a 30-16 run UNDER the total. Murray State has allowed 55, 56, and 53 points in the last three games, all UNDER the total. The offense is ninth in the 12-team conference in scoring and 10th in shooting, but the defense is fourth in points given up (69 per game) and third at defending beyond the arc (.316). Four of their last five home games have gone UNDER, and this total is too high. Take Northern Iowa/Murray State UNDER the total.