Northern Illinois at Miami Ohio

Have we gone mad? N. Illinois has lost 15 of their last 16 and have failed to cover their last six. They have been blown out by an average of 20 ppg in their last three games. So why would we even consider a play on this team? It's kind of like the stock market. Buy on the bad news and sell on the good news. It is where the value is in capping a game as well, especially when there is support. Miami, Ohio is the classic under-achiever. They constantly play to the level of the competition. The last 11 times this team has been a favorite of 10+ they have covered just two times. The last four times they were favored from 8-9.5 they failed to cover a single game. So in 15 games where they were favored by 8+ they have managed two covers. This is also a team that struggles to put points on the board as they average just 57 a game. Giving a bundle, and having trouble scoring, and showing all the signs of disinterest vs. a lousy opponent point to taking that bundle in this one.