Northern Illinois at Ball State

Over the past three seasons, the Huskies are 27-15 ATS on the road. Under head coach Mark Montgomery, the Huskies are 9-2 ATS on the road after an ATS loss and 10-2 ATS following a game in which they scored 55 or less. Dating back to last season, Ball State is 7-16 ATS as a favorite. Northern Illinois has mustered all of four wins this season against Division-1 competition and enter here on a nine-game losing streak. Most will look at them unfavorably here because of the extended losing streak, but what they don't realize is that over the last seven years in NCAA basketball, teams on a nine-game losing streak cover over 55% of the time. Ball State has climbed to the .500 mark on the strength of four straight wins, covering all four of them. This situation doesn't occur frequently, but a team on a nine-game losing streak vs. a team on a four-game ATS streak are 3-0 ATS, as a subset of the above. Make the play on the dog, and back Northern Illinois.