This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 4:12PM ET.
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North Texas at Memphis

March 16, 2007
img12:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Memphis will enter this game with the nations longest winning streak at 22 games. This team does not appear nearly as strong as last season's team that went deep into the tournament. They ran away from a very weak conference field. The second place finisher, C. Florida, needed OT to beat a non-div1-A team in Rollins. Memphis has been very stingy defensively, as they have held opponents to 38.3% shooting. The 3 tests they did have early in the season, may show they are the most vulnerable #2 seed. They lost to Georgia Tech by 7, Arizona by 8, and Tennessee by 18, all seeded beneath them. They do have one achillies-heel. They shoot just 61% from the line, which may make it difficult here to blow-out N. Texas. N. Texas can score with Memphis, as the average in the upper 70s. They have a very deep team, and lots of 3pt. shooters, where they connect on 37+%. They can also defend, as they have held opponents to 41.7% shooting. We like teams that can score, getting a bundle of points, especially when the favorite can't knock down FT's.

2 units on North Texas +18 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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