North Carolina at Pennsylvania

North Carolina ate a bitter pill in last year's tournament, losing to Georgetown. They are a stacked team on a mission this year, as it's Final Four or bust. They have probably the best player at the most important position in point guard Ty Lawson. This team put up 85.7 ppg last season and they are topping that so far in 2007. They are 7-0 so far SU and 5-1 ATS. Penn is just 2-6 SU and 1-5 ATS. Against Villanova on December 1st, they couldn't cover a 21 point spread. This team is just 8-23 ATS in their last 31 home games vs. good defenses (team holding opponents to 42% or less from the field). Since last season, they have played six elite opponents - teams that outscore their opponents by 8+ points per game. They are 0-6 ATS against those teams and tonight we see that going to 0-7. They are also 0-8 ATS as an underdog under Glen Miller. Tar Heels roll here.