North Carolina at Nevada

Number one North Carolina visits Nevada in a game that can be seen tonight on ESPN2. The Tarheels are 12-0 having won each game by at least 15 points. That includes wins over Rutgers, Kentucky, Notre Dame, Oregon and Michigan State. So, there's no doubt which team will win this game. But will the teams combine for 160+ points? I don't think so. Nevada has a very stout defense. They have held their 12 opponents to an average of 62.7 points per game. At home they are allowing just 58.6 per game. And, it's been improving as they've knocked a few points off that over their last five games. The Wolfpack are 8-2 to the UNDER this season. And, Roy Williams-coached teams have gone UNDER in 76 of 126 road games when facing a good opponent (those outscoring the competition by 4+ ppg). This total is high and I'll take the UNDER.