This pick was released to clients on April 04, 2022 at 12:18PM ET.
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North Carolina at Kansas

April 4, 2022
img9:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas caught fire at the end of the regular season and breezed through the Big 12 tournament, winning and covering all three games and then winning five more in a row in the NCAA Tournament to get to tonight's championship game. The Jayhawks have held opponents to just a .350 field goal percentage in the tournament, best of all the original 68 teams, and they dominated two very good teams in Miami and Villanova when their speed and athleticism was too much to overcome. Kansas shot 51.8 percent its last two games while holding the opposition to 38.6 percent. This is also a pseudo-revenge game for the Jayhawks, who were ranked No. 1 in 2020, but there was no tournament due to the pandemic. If there was ever a time for a team to be in a letdown situation going into the final it would be North Carolina, which pulled off one of its biggest wins ever in ousting Duke in Mike Krzyzewski's final year. The Tarheels will have to ramp it up again against another great team, and dating back to last season, they are just 2-10 ATS on the road vs. great offensive teams like Kansas who average more than 76 points per game). The Jayhawks have covered seven of their last nine games and they hold opponents to 30.1 percent from 3-point range. Take Kansas.

1.5 units on Kansas -4 (-107) (risk 1.5 to return 2.9)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
North Carolina Tar Heels
40
29
69
Kansas Jayhawks img
25
47
72
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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