North Carolina at Duke

North Carolina will be playing its third game in three days, while Duke is on a back-to-back. North Carolina is just 2-2 the last four games, even losing 91-88 to Miami as a 10-point favorite. The Tar Heels are not a strong defensive team, #11 in the ACC in points allowed, ninth in field goal shooting defense, last at defending the three. By contrast, Duke is third in field goal shooting defense and at defending beyond the arc. Duke is also tops in the conference in free throw shooting (.746) while North Carolina is last (.673). Duke crushed Notre Dame yesterday, 88-70, as ACC Player of the Year 6-foot-11 Marvin Bagley III had 33 points (15-of-23 shooting) and 17 rebounds. You will likely see him in the NBA later this year. The Blue Devils are now 7-0 straight up at the Barclays Center, including going 4-0 in last year's ACC Tournament. Play Duke on the moneyline.