Niagara at Rider

Niagara has lost 20 games already this season but they are playing their best ball of the season right now. They've won two in a row straight-up and ATS and over their past eight games they are 6-2 ATS. Over their last five games, they have allowed just 63.4 per contest (nearly 10 points better than their season average). In contrast, while Rider has been putting up W's on the scoreboard, they are under-performing the number having covered the spread just four times in their last 13 games. So, the points should loom large here. Rider has never fared well at home vs. losing teams as they are just 21-39 ATS in their last 60 in this situation. When facing the worst of the worst it gets even worse for the Broncs as they are a 9-21 ATS at home vs. teams at .400 or worse. This season, they are 0-8 ATS at home. I like the Purple Eagles plus the points here.