Niagara at Eastern Michigan

Niagara likes to run but the offense isn't as sharp on the road and they head to Eastern Michigan for this CIT game. The last time they faced a strong defensive team on the road was at St. Peters and they lost 58-52 in a game that went UNDER the total by 36 points. They face another team that can control the tempo as the Eastern Michigan Eagles were tops in the MAC in points allowed (65.4 ppg) and field goal shooting defense (.401%). On offense, the team is last in the MAC in scoring (68.1 ppg) and second to last from the charity strip (.679%). Eastern Michigan is on a 16-5 run UNDER the total, including 7-1 UNDER at home. This team was in the CIT four years ago under the same head coach (Rob Murphy) and played a pair of defensive games, defeating Norfolk State (58-54) in the opening round played at home, followed by a 69-56 setback at Columbia. Eastern Michigan is also 22-7 UNDER the total after a spread cover and this total is too high. Play the UNDER.