New Mexico State at Duke

This line is surprising. There definitely is a Duke factor built in and the fact that the Dukies are coming off a 60+ point win over NC Central, and the Aggies off an 8 point loss to Ohio, maybe this line shouldn't surprise us. But either way, it is chock full of value. The WAC has been dominated by Nevada of late, but it's the Aggies that will be heard from this year. They have a very deep and experienced team that played Texas pretty even in the NCAA tournament last season before bowing by 11. It was a game where Texas shot 96% from the free throw line. Without that, it was a very close game. The Aggies are quick out front and like to pressure the ball. They are big and talented under the hoop, the area where Duke is weakest. Duke will have to get something out of freshman Kyle Singler in the paint or they will become exclusively a perimeter team. This is a team that beat Nevada last year and lost to them on the road by just 4 points and lost at Arizona by only 15, despite the fact that Arizona hit 57% of their three pointers. This will be a focused effort by the Aggies, and with all the seniors on the court, they will not be intimidated playing at Duke. We will take the boat load of points in what should be a much closer game than indicated.