New Mexico vs. Louisville

Louisville has won and covered all five of their post-season games, and have gotten better play out of Peyton Siva who slumped most of the season. Let's not forget that this is also a team that lost their last five in the regular season ATS. Louisville is a very erratic team, one that hasn't been able to sustain good play for an extended period and that leaves them looking good here. But they are extremely vulnerable to a very well coached and talented New Mexico team. It is no fluke the Lobos have 28 wins on the season, and they have done one better than Louisville in winning six straight and covering them all. The one difference, the Lobos have been doing it consistently all season, as they are a whopping 23-5 ATS in their last 28 and still under the radar because the uniform says New Mexico on it and not a power-conference name. The Lobos are on a 60-25-5 ATS run following an ATS win and are a momentum-driven team, and have taken their last six at a neutral site. Play on New Mexico in this one.