This pick was released to clients on March 22, 2024 at 9:42AM ET.
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North Carolina State vs. Texas Tech

March 21, 2024
img9:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

North Carolina State is hot at the right time on a 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS run winning the ACC tournament. North Carolina State is on an 8-5 ATS run, plus is 46-28 ATS as a neutral court underdog. They're also 21-9 UNDER the total in first-round tournament games and 31-15 UNDER after playing four straight as an underdog. In addition, the Wolfpack is 67-38 UNDER the First Half Total in non-conference games away from home. Texas Tech not only got bounced from the Big 12 tournament, they got crushed in the last game, losing 82-59 to Houston. They're not at 100% with forward Warren Washington (9.9 points, 7.4 rebounds per game) battling a foot injury. He's their second-leading rebounder. Texas Tech is 49-71 ATS at neutral sites, 66-96 ATS away from home after a loss, and 35-56 ATS away from home after allowing 80+ points. They're also on a 7-4 First Half UNDER the total run, plus 66-43 UNDER the First Half total in road non-conference action. Play North Carolina State to cover, take the first-half UNDER, and make it a Max Play on the full game to stay UNDER the total.  

1 unit on North Carolina State +5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 68.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
NC State Wolfpack img
37
43
80
Texas Tech Red Raiders
33
34
67
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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