North Carolina State at South Florida

Looking at this number, it seems way to low as South Florida was favored by a similar 2.5, over a better Cincinnati team at home. The Bulls, in their last 21 games, only had two losses to teams that are not in the NCAA Tournament, so they really played well and were 7-1-1 ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or less. North Carolina State has struggled too many times to score points, never touching 60 points in three ACC Tournament games. They will also have to contend with Dominique James who is capable of 30 points all by himself. This is a tough spot for the Pack, so I'm going with South Florida here.