North Carolina State at North Carolina

North Carolina has had a rocky season at 19-8. The Tar Heels have been beating the poor teams in the league, but find the going tough vs. the better teams, leaving them at just 2-4 in their last six games. NC State lost by just two at home vs. the Heels, and at 16-11 on the season they need some big wins, and this would be huge for their resume. The Wolf Pack owns wins on the road vs. Florida State, and Louisville already this season, and with so much on the line, I expect them to play tough tonight. The Wolfpack has been a cover machine in conference play where they are an under-the-radar 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26. North Carolina has certainly struggled vs. winning teams where they are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine. Take NC State.