This pick was released to clients on March 31, 2024 at 11:04AM ET.
img CBB

North Carolina State vs. Duke

March 31, 2024
img5:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

N.C. State is looking very much like the 2010-11 Connecticut Huskies who won five games in five days as a ninth seed in the Big East Tournament and then went on to win the NCAA championship. The Wolfpack defeated Duke 74-69 in the ACC Tournament on March 14 after losing the first meeting 10 days before and they have won eight in a row with a 6-2 ATS mark. DJ Horne scored 19 points as the Wolfpack beat Marquette 67-58 on Friday night and Mohamed Diarra did his part with 11 points and 15 rebounds. The Wolfpack's defense probably was the main factor though as the Golden Eagles shot just four of 31 from 3-point distance and 33.3 percent overall. The game went UNDER by 26.5 points and the past four meetings between Duke and N.C. State have stayed UNDER. The Blue Devils are 7-1 UNDER their past eight games overall and they are 5-0 UNDER their past five NCAA Tournament games. The Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS as underdogs at neutral-site games. Duke is 12-5 UNDER in the first half. Take N.C. State ATS and on the moneyline. Also, play the UNDER for the first half and the game.

1 unit on North Carolina State +7.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
0.5 unit on North Carolina State +260 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 1.8)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 67.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 143.5 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
NC State Wolfpack img
21
55
76
Duke Blue Devils
27
37
64
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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